Fantasy basketball tips and NBA betting picks for Sunday

Fantasy basketball tips and NBA betting picks for Sunday

ESPN’s fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips list is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best information and data to help you make smart fantasy and betting decisions. NBA odds for Nov. 6 are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy tips are based on ESPN’s 10-team leagues.

What you need to know about Sunday’s games

House and home: The Toronto Raptors and Chicago Bulls have back-to-back home and home games over the next two days, giving bookies double the motivation to handicap this match. Since the start of last season, Toronto has been one of the best road ATS teams (28-16 ATS), but Chicago has been phenomenal in front of their home crowd (28-18 ATS). Both teams are approaching .500 in the reverse situation (Toronto at home and Chicago on the road), so looking at the trends, this looks like a strength-on-strength and weakness-on-weakness situation.

But what if you believe these games will be close? Toronto was projected for five more wins in the preseason, but is dealing with some injuries. Since the start of last season, the Raptors are 34-20 ATS in games with a spread of less than five points (16-8 at home, 18-12 on the road) while the Bulls are 26-27 ATS in such venues (13-12 at home, 13- 15 away). Follow the status Fred VanVleet and Pascal, I’m sorrybut if it was one of them, the trends lean towards Canada’s best in this match.

In Search of the Precious: Sticking with the Raptors, it’s lineup time Precious Achiuwa ahead of today’s action. All-Star forward Pascal Siakam is listed as questionable with a groin injury that forced him out of the team’s last game early. With Siakam’s highly utilized game off the floor, Achiuwa can be expected to handle more minutes, touches, rebound chances and opportunities on defense. You can find Achiuwa in free agency in over 90% of ESPN leagues and for bargain prices on major DFS platforms.

Will the Thrill: The Wizards will be star-less Bradley Beal for today’s game against Memphis due to health and safety protocols. Beal averaged a dozen more touches per game than any other player on the team, so his absence is important in terms of offensive opportunities. Monte Morris (45% available in ESPN leagues) is in a good place to surpass the scoring and passing props, while Will Barton (81%) is ideally placed as a candidate for streaming on a light Sunday. While Barton has a bit of a shifty game in terms of running hot and cold off the floor, his game and shot creation should rise significantly with Beal off the court.

Fade The King: LeBron James a pile of numbers for this Lakers team stuck in the mud that could continue this afternoon against his former employer…just not on the glass. To no one’s surprise, the Cavs are among the elite rebounding teams in the Association and that has proven to be an obstacle for The King this season. Three of his four double-digit rebounds came against average-to-below rebounding teams, the lone exception being a 10-rebound game against the Pelicans … in a game that went into overtime in which New Orleans opted to shoot (Zion Williamson and CJ McCollum scored 49 points in 78 minutes) over size (Jonas Valančiūnas played only 22 minutes).

This game is unlikely to go to overtime and there is no way the Cavs will be short. The Lakers travel to play in depleted Utah tomorrow, so if this game is one-sided, the total number of minutes less than normal for James is possible. Price shop, but betting the under on his bounce props is viable.

— Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe

Breaking records

Cleveland Cavaliers at Los Angeles Lakers
3:30 PM ET, Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

Line: Cavaliers (-3)
Money: Cavaliers (-165), Lakers (+140)
Total: 223.5 points
BPI Projected total: 230.4 points
BPI Win%: Cavaliers (56.6%)

interrogative: Anthony Davis (back), Donovan Mitchell (ankle), Darius Garland (knee)
Note: BPI numbers are factored in players who have been ruled out, but assume questionable players will play.

Fantasy streamer: Cedi Osman (available in 97.6% of leagues) i Raul Neto (available in 99.8% of leagues) are both risky games with upside Sunday, pending the status of Darius Garland (knee) and Donovan Mitchell (ankle). Both Garland and Mitchell were out with injuries on Friday, while Osman (15 points, 6 assists, 4 rebounds, 4 three-pointers, 25 minutes) and Neto (10 points, 5 assists, 5 rebounds, 2 steals, 24 minutes) they used their extended streak to produce fantasy-worthy stat lines. This could happen again on Sunday against the Cavs, again pending the availability of Garland and Mitchell. Stay with us. — André Snellings

Best bet: LeBron James over 7.5 assists. James averaged 7.5 APG this season as the Lakers continue to play at a faster pace. In terms of possessions per game, Los Angeles ranks third in the league. According to head coach Darwin Hamm, James has been battling a virus for the past two games, but “has regained his energy.” James played in 18 games against the Cavaliers and averaged 7.1 APG, but in the last four he averaged 8.5 APG. He should come back well and this is the bet I would prioritize. — Eric Moody

Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors
6:00 p.m. ET, Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Line: Raptors (-1.5)
Money: Raptors (-125), Bulls (+105)
Total: 219.5 points
BPI Projected total: 226.5 points
BPI Win%: Raptors (71.6%)

interrogative: Zach LaVine (knee), Fred VanVleet (back)
Off: Pascal Siakam (thigh), Coby White (quad), Andre Drummond (shoulder)
Note: BPI numbers are factored in players who have been ruled out, but assume questionable players will play.

Fantasy streamer: Chris Boucher (available in 50.9% of leagues) he’s already stepped up his production lately, and he could be showing even more on Sunday. Boucher has averaged 17.0 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 2.5 3PG, 1.0 SPG and 1.0 BPG in 27.5 MPG over his last two outings. And, with Pascal Siakam and Fred VanVleet listed as questionable, but after playing the last three games, the Raptors will lean more heavily on their rotation guys than usual on Sunday. — Snellings

Washington Wizards at Memphis Grizzlies
6 p.m. ET, FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee

Line: Grizzlies (-10)
Money: Grizzlies (-520), Wizards (+400)
Total: 225.5 points
BPI Projected total: 236 points
BPI Win%: Grizzlies (68.5%)

Off: Bradley Beal (Health and Safety Protocols)
Note: BPI numbers are factored in players who have been ruled out, but assume questionable players will play.

Best bet: Grizzlies -10. The Wizards rank 22nd in points scored per 100 possessions and 29th in points allowed per 100 possessions. In addition to not being a great offensive or defensive team, Washington has also allowed some epic performances to scouts this season, which bodes well for And Morant. The Grizzlies rank second in points scored per 100 possessions. Memphis is also 2-1 against the spread as a home favorite. The team finished 20-13 last season as a home favorite with a similar schedule. — Moody

Best bet: Steven Adams over 9.5 jumps. Adams has been a solid veteran leader for the Grizzlies since his arrival in 2021. Even though he is in his 10th season in the NBA, Adams continues to put up big numbers. On Friday, he dominated the Hornets with 19 rebounds in just 22 minutes. On Sunday, Adams has what it takes to put on a similar performance against Kristaps Porzingis. He had 10 or more rebounds in five of the Grizzlies’ last six games. — Moody

Utah Jazz at LA Clippers
10:00 PM ET, Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

Line: Clippers (-4.5)
Money: Clippers (-190), Jazz (+158)
Total: 223.5 points
BPI Projected total: 229.2 points
BPI Win%: scissors (56.6%)

Off: Kawhi Leonard (knee), Robert Covington (disease), Luke Kennard (chest)
Note: BPI numbers are factored in players who have been ruled out, but assume questionable players will play.

Fantasy streamer: Reggie Jackson (available in 82.5% of leagues) is one of several potential streaming options from this game, including teammate Norman Powell and opponents Kelly Olynyk and Jarred Vanderbilt. I went with Jackson here because a) I’ve detailed Olynyk and Vanderbilt elsewhere recently and hopefully they’re already on your radar if you’re looking for a big man to stream and b) because Jackson has quietly had two solid games in a row and has an explosive upside . Jackson’s role is smaller this season John Wall in a turnaround, but he’s proven a 20-plus PPG positive in any given game in which he gets hot. In the last two games, he averaged 13.0 PPG, 4.0 APG, 2.0 RPG and 1.0 3PG in 35.0 MPG. — Snellings

Best bet: Jazz +4.5 points. The Jazz have been better than the Clippers by every measure this season, with a better record and a much better margin of victory. The Clippers have won three straight against lesser competition, but are still without Kawhi Leonard and seemingly learning how to play with the team they currently have. The Jazz, on the other hand, were themselves and played at their (shocking) level all season. I think the Jazz should be the scoring team, and the BPI game predictor agrees, projecting the Jazz as a 1.8-point favorite with a 56.6% chance to win outright. — Snellings

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