Headlines

Fetterman, Warnock get boost as final poll predicts Democratic wins

Fetterman, Warnock get boost as final poll predicts Democratic wins

Democratic candidates in three key states got a boost in the three latest Marist battleground state polls that show the president Joe Biden‘s party has a real chance of winning big.

Marist polls conducted in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania show Democrats leading in the crucial Senate races, although margins remain particularly thin in Georgia.

Polls also showed that Democratic candidates were favored to win gubernatorial elections in Arizona and Pennsylvania, but Georgia’s Republican Gov. Brian Kemp is on the way to re-election.

Composite photo by Fetterman and Warnock
In this composite photo, Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate John Fetterman, pictured in October, and U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock speak during a campaign rally in Atlanta, Georgia on Oct. 24, 2022. Both Democrats are leading their Senate races in a recent Marist poll.
Getty

If the polls are confirmed, Democrats could win three seats considered crucial for control of the Senate and defeat several Republican candidates backed by the former president Donald Trump.

The polls appear to be at odds with the national trend reflected in the U.S a series of recent general congressional polls showing Republicans increasing the lead over Democrats in voting intentions.

Pennsylvania

The latest 2022 Marist poll for Pennsylvania showed the Democratic lieutenant governor John Fetterman leading Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz in the Senate race among certain voters with 51 percent to Oz’s 45 percent and 4 percent undecided.

Among registered voters, Fetterman enjoys the support of 50 percent compared to the Republicans’ 44 percent, while 5 percent are undecided.

The chart below shows the poll averages from the Pennsylvania Senate race.

The poll was conducted among 1,152 registered voters from October 31 to November 2 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percent. The poll polled 1,021 designated voters, and the margin of error for that group was plus or minus 4 percent.

Marist also found Democratic gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro leading Republican Doug Mastrian with 54 percent support to Mastrian’s 40 percent among those who say they are certain to vote. Shapiro leads 54 percent to the Republicans’ 39 percent among registered voters.

Mastrian was endorsed by Trump.

Georgia

Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock is leading his Republican opponent, Trump-backed former professional football player Herschel Walker, among registered voters in Georgia.

The Marist poll showed the Democrat has 49 percent support compared to 45 percent for Walker with 6 percent undecided. Still, the race is tighter among those who say they will definitely vote.

Walker and Warnock are tied for registered voters at 48 percent each, while 3 percent remain undecided.

The Georgia poll was conducted among 1,168 registered voters from Oct. 31 to Nov. 2 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percent. The poll included 1,009 designated voters, and the margin of error for that group was plus or minus 4.2 percent.

The chart below shows the poll averages from the Georgia Senate race.

The Georgia Senate race may be over to be the closest in the nation and state law requires a runoff if no candidate wins 50 percent of the vote, meaning a slim lead does not guarantee victory on Nov. 8. Undecided voters could be key in this race and their votes could potentially avoid the need for a runoff.

“This is a very close Senate race in Georgia that could, once again, end in a runoff to determine which party controls the Senate,” Lee M. Miringoff, director of Marist College’s Institute for Public Opinion, said in a statement Friday.

Marist polls show Republican Gov. Brian Kemp leading the Democrat Stacey Abrams with 53 percent to her 45 percent among certain voters.

He also leads Abrams among registered voters, 51 percent to the Democrats’ 45 percent.

Arizona

Democratic Senator Mark Kelly leads his Trump-backed Republican challenger, Blake Masters, among registered and certain voters in the latest Arizona Marist poll.

Kelly enjoys 50 percent support to Masters’ 47 percent with 2 percent undecided, and the senator leads among registered voters with 49 percent to the Republicans’ 45 percent, with another 5 percent undecided.

The chart below shows the voting averages from the Arizona Senate race.

The Arizona poll was conducted among 1,157 registered voters from Oct. 31 to Nov. 2 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent. The poll polled 1,015 designated voters, and the margin of error for that group was plus or minus 4.3 percent.

The research also found a Democratic gubernatorial candidate Katie Hobbs has a slight advantage Republican candidate Kari Lake among certain voters with 49 percent to Lake’s 48 percent. Those numbers have shifted in Hobbs’ favor since September, according to Marist, when Lake led certain voters with 49 percent to Hobbs’ 46 percent.

Hobbs also had a slight lead among registered voters, winning 48 percent to the Republicans’ 47 percent. Lake previously led Hobbs in this group 46 percent to 45 percent.

If Democrats win all three Senate seats and two governorship seats, it will be a significant victory for President Biden’s party in what is expected to be a tough midterm election season.



#Fetterman #Warnock #boost #final #poll #predicts #Democratic #wins

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Back to top button