Here are all the races still uncalled as control of the Senate hangs on 2 states — and a possible Georgia runoff cut

Here are all the races still uncalled as control of the Senate hangs on 2 states — and a possible Georgia runoff cut

The Senate comes down to two key swing states — and possibly a runoff

Democrat John Fetterman flipped Pennsylvania early Wednesday morning, giving his party 48 seats, while Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) secured re-election late Wednesday morning. That gives Democrats 48 seats and Republicans 49 — meaning whichever party wins two of the three at-large contests in Arizona, Georgia — which is headed for a runoff — and Nevada will control the Senate.

Arizona and Nevada are the biggest question marks, with significant votes still to be counted in both states. If either party sweeps those two states, it will take control of the Senate regardless of what happens in Georgia next month.

Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto faces Republican Adam Laxalt in Nevada. Laxalt leads with more than 70 percent of the expected votes counted. But the state still has a long way to go, and Laxalt’s lead is slim because of a glut of potentially Democratic-leaning extraordinary ballots. Nevada’s two most populous counties — Democratic-leaning Clark County, home of Las Vegas, and Washoe County, home of Reno — have at least tens of thousands of ballots remaining to be counted.

Clark County Registrar of Voters Joe Gloria, the chief elections official there, said at a news conference Wednesday afternoon that 14,718 ballots will be reported tonight and that the county plans to release the results of a new tranche of vote counts once a day going forward.

The votes to be announced later tonight are from ballots that were picked up from drop boxes on Monday or delivered by the United States Postal Service on Tuesday.

An additional 12,700 ballots were received from post office clerks on Wednesday and will be processed later this week. Nevada ballots that are USPS postmarked by Election Day but delivered to election officials by Nov. 12 will also be counted.

Gloria added that “there is a considerable amount” of ballots that were deposited in the ballot boxes on election day and that need to be processed, but he did not have a specific number. All personal votes on election day are tallied.

Similarly, officials in Washoe County have to count many, many ballots. As of Wednesday morning, officials there must count 39,000 ballots received before Election Day, along with 18,000 ballots received Tuesday — as well as properly marked ballots arriving over the next few days. KRNV reported. And rural, red counties also still have thousands of ballots to count, the Las Vegas Review Journal reported.

Arizona, too, still has a lot of votes. Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly has the lead, and his lead over Republican Blake Masters is expected to shrink dramatically — but not erode completely. By early Wednesday morning, about 60 percent of the votes had been counted in the state.

Election officials there have long warned that this would be the case. In Maricopa County, the state’s largest county, mail-in ballots returned before Election Day will not be counted until Wednesday. Maricopa Recorder Stephen Richer, the county’s chief election officer, he tweeted on Wednesday that hundreds of thousands more votes should be counted in the most populous district in the country.

Still to be tabulated, as of Wednesday morning, there are over 400,000 ballots dropped in the boxes between Friday and Election Day — including a whopping 275,000 ballots returned Tuesday, which Richer noted was 100,000 more than were cast. on Election Day 2020.

In addition, ballots that were inserted at the polling stations and could not be read by the tabulating machines — reportedly a widespread occurrence in Maricopa — must now be counted at central polling stations. Richer put the number at roughly 17,000. Officials said before the election that they hoped to have 99 percent of ballots counted by Friday.

Pinal County, a red-leaning county south of Phoenix, he said Wednesday morning that nearly 27,000 ballots remained to be counted, which were mostly deposited in boxes over the weekend or returned to polling stations on Election Day. And Pima County, a blue county, had at least 50,000 ballots to go through as of Wednesday morning, The Tucson Sentinel reported.

In Georgia, Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock narrowly leads Republican Herschel Walker. The problem for Warnock – and the Democrats – is that the incumbent fell short of a majority vote, prompting a Dec. 6 runoff between Warnock and Walker. The race was officially sent to the second round on Wednesday afternoon.

If the two parties split Arizona and Nevada, control of the Senate would come back to the Peach State, just as it did in 2020. Two years ago, Democrats won two other districts in the state, securing a 50/50 split in the state. chamber and made Vice President Kamala Harris the decisive choice.

Warnock will finish first in the November election, but that does not guarantee he will win in December. In one of the two 2020 runoffs, then-Sen. David Perdue (R-Ga.) also finished just under the 50 percent threshold. But now-Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.) swept past him to win the race for a full term in a runoff in early 2021. Warnock, meanwhile, also won a 2021 Senate runoff, defeating then-Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-Ga.) after the pair emerged from a broken November field.

Warnock’s victory then gave him two years in the Senate, while this year’s contest will decide a full six-year term.

One significant difference for this year’s second round is the timing. The second rounds in the state took place at the beginning of January. But after suffering those losses in 2021, Georgia Republicans changed state law to move the runoffs up by about a month, setting them up for early December.

GOP leads in House battle – but wins smaller than expected

Republicans still lead the race for the House majority, but the number of uncalled races indicates how surprisingly close the battle for the House is.

Of the 26 House races projected by POLITICO as “toss-ups,” only 14 had been called as of early Wednesday afternoon. Another 20 races rated “Lean Democrat” or “Lean Republican” by POLITICO were also uncalled. In all, that includes nine races in California, a slow-counting state — one of several reasons why resolving House majority control could take time.

Perhaps the most shocking seat still left is in Colorado, where controversial Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.), who represents a heavily Republican seat made redder by redistricting, is narrowly trailing Democratic challenger Adam Frisch with more than 90 percent of the vote. .

Back to the toss-up districts: In New York, two upstate leadership races remain uncalled, in the GOP-led 22nd District and the Democratic-led 18th District.

One toss-up district in Pennsylvania remains uninvited — but Democratic Rep. Susan Wild has the lead.

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