Hochul is losing steam in the governor’s race, the top forecaster says
Another major political prognosticator has moved the tightening New York Governor’s Race directed by Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin — after predicting for months that incumbent Gov. Hochul would cruise to victory.
The esteemed Cook Political Report changed his rating from “solid Democrat” to “probable Democrat” on Friday, acknowledging a closer-than-expected race for New York Democrats they rush to help in the rescue.
A rating review followed two weeks after that RealClearPolitics reported The Hochul-Zeldin contest will be a toss-up.
Hochul — who led the Long Island congressman by 24 points in one poll in August — has seen her lead shrink to single digits in recent weeks as Zeldin he hit about the state’s crime crisis and seized on the attack critics who accused her using $1 billion in taxpayer funds as a vote-buying fund.
Two polls released Friday, including one by the left-leaning Slingshot Strategy, gave Hochul a 6-point lead among likely voters.
“We’re seeing a real enthusiasm gap where Zeldin is actually leading with the most likely voters to turn out,” said Slingshot interviewer Evan Smith.
The Slingshot survey of 1,000 likely voters, which had a margin of error of 3.1%, found that crime was the top concern for 24% of voters, with 14% citing inflation and 10% citing gun violence as their top concern.
Early voting begins Saturday in a closely watched race.
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