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Hochul is losing steam in the governor’s race, the top forecaster says

Hochul is losing steam in the governor’s race, the top forecaster says

Another major political prognosticator has moved the tightening New York Governor’s Race directed by Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin — after predicting for months that incumbent Gov. Hochul would cruise to victory.

The esteemed Cook Political Report changed his rating from “solid Democrat” to “probable Democrat” on Friday, acknowledging a closer-than-expected race for New York Democrats they rush to help in the rescue.

A rating review followed two weeks after that RealClearPolitics reported The Hochul-Zeldin contest will be a toss-up.

Hochul — who led the Long Island congressman by 24 points in one poll in August — has seen her lead shrink to single digits in recent weeks as Zeldin he hit about the state’s crime crisis and seized on the attack critics who accused her using $1 billion in taxpayer funds as a vote-buying fund.

Two polls released Friday, including one by the left-leaning Slingshot Strategy, gave Hochul a 6-point lead among likely voters.

Zeldin was previously impressed at a debate on the governor's race earlier this week.
Zeldin was previously impressed at a debate on the governor’s race earlier this week.
Paul Martinka for the NY Post
Gov. Kathy Hochul is barely hanging on to her lead in the New York governor's race.
Gov. Kathy Hochul is barely hanging on to her lead in the New York governor’s race.
By James Keivom for the NY Post

“We’re seeing a real enthusiasm gap where Zeldin is actually leading with the most likely voters to turn out,” said Slingshot interviewer Evan Smith.

The Slingshot survey of 1,000 likely voters, which had a margin of error of 3.1%, found that crime was the top concern for 24% of voters, with 14% citing inflation and 10% citing gun violence as their top concern.

Early voting begins Saturday in a closely watched race.



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