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Why forecasters are worried about a named subtropical storm in the Atlantic

Why forecasters are worried about a named subtropical storm in the Atlantic

Why forecasters are worried about a named subtropical storm in the Atlantic

Why forecasters are worried about a named subtropical storm in the Atlantic

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The Atlantic hurricane season may be coming to an end, but there is still the potential for a powerful storm to develop.

The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) is closely monitoring two potential systems, one of which could affect the southeastern US and the Bahamas in the coming days.

Atmosphere

Atmosphere

Subtropical Nicole developed north of Puerto Rico and is producing a large area of ​​scattered showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move north and then northwest into the southwest Atlantic, where environmental conditions appear to be favorable for additional development.

SEE ALSO: How warm water drives the world’s strongest hurricanes

The current forecast track of Nicole is expected to bring impacts to the northern islands of the Bahamas and the east coast of Florida.

explainer

explainer

Although Nicole is currently a subtropical storm in the Atlantic, it still carries the risk of coastal flooding, tropical storm-force winds and heavy rainfall for much of the southeastern US coast, including eastern Florida, and parts of the Bahamas this week.

Interests in those areas should continue to monitor the progress of this system as tropical storm, hurricane and storm surge watches may be issued for some of these areas by early Monday. The NHC puts the chance of formation at 80 percent in the next 48 hours and 90 percent in the next five days.

The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season will end on November 30.

Frequency of November storms

Although November does not produce Atlantic hurricanes every year, they have occurred during the last month of the season in several years. In fact, from 1950 to 2021, an average of one is produced every three years.

Update

Update

Only a few hurricanes have formed in the Atlantic basin since 1950. Most important:

15-23. November 1985: Hurricane Kate, with wind gusts of 190 km/h

13-23. November 1999: Hurricane Leni, with wind gusts of 250 km/h

5-9. November 2008: Hurricane Paloma, with wind gusts of 250 km/h

4-11. November 2009: Hurricane Ida, with wind gusts of 165 km/h

20-26. November 2016: Hurricane Otto, with wind gusts of 185 km/h

It was important to note that there were two hurricanes in the Atlantic at the same time in November. Hurricanes Lisa and Martin have done so for the third year on record, the first time since 2001. If two additional systems develop this month, it will tie 1961 as the most active November on record.

Follow The Weather Network for the latest on the Atlantic hurricane season.



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